Put-call ratio (PCR) is an indicator commonly used to determine the mood
of the options market. Being a contrarian indicator, the ratio looks at
options buildup, helps traders understand whether a recent fall or rise
in the market is excessive and if the time has come to take a
contrarian call. The ratio is calculated either on the basis of options
trading volumes or on the basis of options contracts on a given day or
period.
One way to calculate PCR is by dividing the number of open interest in a
Put contract by the number of open interest in Call option at the same
strike price and expiry date on any given day.
PCR (OI) = Put open interest on a given day/Call open interest on the same day
It can also be calculated by dividing put trading volume by call trading volume on a given day.
PCR (Volume) = Put trading volume/call trading volume
PCR for marketwide positions can also be calculated by taking total
number of OI for all open Call options and for all open Put options in a
given series.
Description: A PCR ratio below 1 suggests that traders
are buying more Call options than Put options. It signals that most
market participants are betting on a likely bullish trend going forward.
For contrarians, it is a signal to go against the wind.
On the flip side, if the ratio is higher than 1, it suggests traders
are buying more Puts than Calls. Unlike Call options, Put options are
not initiated just for directional call. They are bought also to hedge
against any decline in the market.
The market sentiment is deemed excessively bearish when the PCR is at a
relatively high level. But for contrarian investors, it suggests that
the market may soon bottom out. On the other hand, when the ratio falls
to a relatively low level, it is deemed excessively bullish. For
contrarians, it would suggest a market top is in the making.
The PCR can be calculated for indices, individual stocks and for the derivative segment as a whole.
For example, suppose Nifty50 Put option at strike price 8,000 for
December expiry saw a volume of 5,609 contracts on a day. Suppose
further that Call volume on that day at the same strike price and same
expiry stood at 88,220.
In this case, the PCR would be
5,609/88,220 = 0.06
Now suppose the Put open interest for the same expiry and strike price
stands at 4,310,600 and Call open interest stands at 6,816,250.
The PCR in this case would be
4310600/6816250 =0.63 (See table above)
If the ratio is high in a falling market, it reflects how bearish the
sentiment is. But a rise in the ratio in a rising market is considered a
bullish signal.